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methodology of constructing Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) consistent prior distributions for Bayesian Vector … Autoregressive (BVAR) models. The moments of the assumed Normal-Inverse Wishart (no conjugate) prior distribution of the VAR … Ravenna (2007) regarding structural VAR (SVAR) models and the normal prior density of the DSGE parameter vector. In line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339762
inference method to map from this TV VAR to time variation in implied Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) parameters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405253
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A growing empirical literature has considered the impact of uncertainty using SVAR models that include proxies for uncertainty shocks as endogenous variables. In this paper we consider the possible impact of measurement error in the uncertainty shock proxies on the estimated impulse responses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784657
DSGE models have recently received considerable attention in macroeconomic analysis and forecasting. They are usually … estimation of DSGE models that can accommodate time variation in all parameters of the model. There are two advantages in … design of DSGE models. The second advantage is that we can compute predictive densities based on the most recent parameters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405280
This paper conducts a structural analysis of inflation persistence in the United Kingdom between 1965-2009. I allow for the possibility of shifts in the U.K. economy by estimating open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models in which parameters of a Taylor-type monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121979
We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389735
models and different scale Bayesian VARs (BVAR), and compares their relative accuracy. The results show that the BVAR model … indicates that a BVAR performs better than the benchmark in all forecast horizons. Statistical differences between the two BVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882797
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