Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) for short-term forecasting of inflation - Autoregressive integrated moving average models … models' out-of-sample forecasting performance for the period 2012 q3 to 2016 q2 by using a number of forecast evaluation … increases. Second, the disaggregated ARIMA model has the smallest forecasting errors. Third, majority of the forecast evaluation …

The purpose of the paper is to introduce the framework for decomposing the forecast of headline inflation, obtained by … inflation forecast, with relatively good fit of equations for food and domestic oil prices. This model serves as satellite model … core inflation. The model for inflation decomposition is a small structural model, set up in state space framework. Kalman …

desired policy goals. This paper develops a group of models to forecast inflation for Argentina, which includes autoregressive … can improve the forecast ability of the univariate autoregressive benchmark’s model of inflation. The Giacomini-White test …In 2016 the Central Bank of Argentina began to announce inflation targets. In this context, providing authorities with …

This paper presents a forecasting exercise that assesses the predictive potential of a daily price index based on … monthly core inflation rate in Argentina, known as "resto IPCBA" and published by the Statistics Office of the City of Buenos …. Additionally, an analysis of intra-period forecasts, reveals a slight trend towards increased forecast accuracy as the daily …