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This paper examines how carry trade activity affects the transmission of monetary policy in currency markets. It analyzes a set of developed and emerging market currencies against the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar appreciates in response to a conventional monetary policy shock but depreciates to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053521
This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372798
HICP inflation seems to be largely driven by the goods component while ERPT to services prices is largely insignificant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604346
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243509
This paper introduces a exible local projection that generalises the model by Jordà (2005) to a non-parametric setting using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Monte Carlo experiments show that our BART-LP model is able to capture non-linearities in the impulse responses. Our first application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179339
-robust approach is proposed to construct estimation and inference. Thirdly, this paper suggests a procedure to derive theory … the FEVD tend to remove unreasonable implications, increase estimation precision, sharpen and also alter the inference of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037315
" to inflation, an effect that is known as exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). In particular, if an exchange rate … relatively lower ERPT in the past two decades, the exchange rate continues to be a large determinant of inflation in several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521215
responds to inflation and output volatility, especially during economic crises. This framework offers a promising alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014538995
inflation expectations and risk premia. This entails jointly pricing and decomposing nominal and real UK yields. We find … evidence that medium- and long-term inflation expectations are contained within narrower bounds since the early 1990s …, suggesting monetary policy credibility improved after the introduction of inflation targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
We propose an extended time-varying parameter Vector Autoregression that allows for an evolving relationship between the variances of the shocks. Using this model, we show that the relationship between the conditional variance of GDP growth and the long-term interest rate has become weaker over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554403