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volatility and persistence of primary commodity prices, and the model is shown to deliver equilibrium real exchange rates that … volatility of real exchange rates in the data. The analysis implies that existing models used to analyze real exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154653
We show that explicitly modeling primary commodities in an otherwise totally standard incomplete markets open economy model can go a long way in explaining the Mussa puzzle and the Backus-Smith puzzle, two of the main puzzles in the international economics literature.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014516603
currency coverage, whereas volatility in REER misalignment is likely to propagate to inflation of the home economy concerned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003990427
Fluctuations in commodity prices are an important driver of business cycles in small emerging market economies (EMEs). This paper documents how these fluctuations correlate strongly with the business cycle in EMEs. A commodity sector is then embedded into a multi-country EMEs business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458177
SVAR models that include a single world price (such as the terms-of-trade) predict that world shocks explain a small … multiple commodity prices transmit world disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate … that world shocks explain on average 33 percent of output fluctuations in individual economies. This figure doubles when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673250
volatility of emerging and developed economies. We study a multi-sector small open economy in which firms produce and trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911446
intervention policy successfully reduces credit, investment, and output volatility, along with substantial welfare gains when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384610
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796190
real-time data is slightly lower than the revision in World Bank estimates and much lower than International Monetary Fund …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184685