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When do financial markets help in predicting economic activity? With incomplete markets, the link between financial and real economy is state-dependent and financial indicators may turn out to be useful particularly in forecasting "tail" macroeconomic events. We examine this conjecture by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339756
We endogenize the liquidity and the quality of private assets in a tractable incomplete-market model with heterogeneous agents. The model decomposes the convenience yield of government bond into a "liquidity premium" (flight to liquidity) and a "safety premium" (flight to quality) over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780935
The ambiguous phenomenon of corruption has long been the cause of great theoretical debate in economics. By using … Structural Equation Modelling, with the two types of corruption as a latent variable, this paper employs causal and indicative … variables specific to the Latin American region to test for rent seeking and systemic corruption in the period between 1980 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605890
In this paper we aim to trace the roots of the ongoing economic mayhem and to unmask the chorus of the tragedy which plays on the world stage. The main thesis of our work is that, despite the triumphant rhetoric praising the merits of perfect competition, the global fields of the dysfunctional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488633
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What type of fiscal policy is most effective during a financial crisis? I study the macroeconomic effects of the US fiscal policy response to the Great Recession, accounting not only for standard tools such as government purchases and transfers but also for financial sector interventions such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914285
corrupt economies in resource-rich countries. An empirical analysis of available corruption indices suggests that instability …-led looting provides a more fundamental explanation of perceived corruption than do various social and cultural indicators or the … economic theory of internal political competition. -- Corruption ; Dictatorship ; Lending and Indebtedness ; Looting ; Natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702219
This paper develops a framework for analyzing different policymaking styles, their causes and their consequences in Latin America, finding that lower institutionalization and greater use of alternative political technologies (APTs) are more likely the lower the cost of using these technologies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247930
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