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An exchange rate policy rule
Parrado, Eric - 2023
This paper introduces a novel monetary policy framework where the exchange rate becomes the central instrument. Using Singapore as a case study, it explores the Monetary Authority's adoption of the exchange rate as the primary tool since 1981, diverging from conventional approaches centered on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014538995
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On the credibility of inflation targeting regimes in Latin America
Mariscal, Rodrigo; Powell, Andrew; Tavella, Pilar - 2014
Inflation targeting has been adopted in a set of emerging economies, including eight countries in Latin America. The success of this regime may depend critically on the credibility of the target and the expectation that the authorities will take appropriate actions if the target is breached....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286255
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Creation and evolution of inflation expectations in Paraguay
Alonso, Pablo - 2018
The establishment of the inflation targeting regime in Paraguay is relatively recent, however, the results have been satisfactory. This is because based on the observed data, from the implementation of this framework, it has been possible to not only reduce inflation levels, but also align...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883801
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Inflation targeting in Latin America
Barajas, Adolfo; Steiner, Roberto; Villar Gómez, Leonardo - 2014
Estimation of conventional Taylor rules for Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Peru shows that central banks increase their repo rate in response to increases in the output gap and, except in Peru, to deviations of inflation expectations from target. Using a Markov-Switching methodology, it is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010246127
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UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound
Carriero, Andrea; Mouabbi, Sarah; Vangelista, Elisabetta - 2015
This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
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Adaptive models and heavy tails
Delle Monache, Davide; Petrella, Ivan - 2014
This paper proposes a novel and flexible framework to estimate autoregressive models with time-varying parameters. Our setup nests various adaptive algorithms that are commonly used in the macroeconometric literature, such as learning-expectations and forgetting-factor algorithms. These are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382183
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Liquidity premiums on government debt and the fiscal theory of the price level
Berentsen, Aleksander; Waller, Christopher - 2017
rate on bonds. In equilibrium, the price level is determined according to the fiscal theory of the price level. However … lending arrangements. If the collateral constraint binds, agents price in a liquidity premium on bonds that lowers the real … or spending. The price dynamics are driven solely by the liquidity premium on the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691217
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Long and Plosser meet Bewley and Lucas
Dong, Feng; Wen, Yi - 2018
We develop a N-sector business cycle network model a la Long and Plosser (1983), featuring heterogenous money demand a la Bewley (1980) and Lucas (1980). Despite incomplete markets and a well-defined distribution of real money balances across heterogeneous households, the enriched N-sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911508
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A note of caution on the relation between money growth and inflation
Berger, Helge; Karlsson, Sune; Österholm, Pär - 2023
We assess the bivariate relation between money growth and inflation in the euro area and the United States using hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models. Model selection based on marginal likelihoods suggests that the relation is statistically unstable across time in both regions. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252440
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A monetary-fiscal theory of sudden inflations
Bassetto, Marco; Miller, David S. - 2022
This paper posits an information channel as the explanation for sudden inflations. Consumers saving via nominal government bonds face a choice whether to acquire costly information about future government surpluses. They trade off the cost of acquiring information about the surpluses that back...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472118