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Recent studies on oil market demonstrate endogeneity of oil price by modeling it as a function of consumption and precautionary demands and producers’ supply. However, studies analysing the effect of oil price uncertainty on investment, do not disentangle uncertainties raised by underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824181
Persistent and significant privately-held stockpiles of crude oil have long been an important empirical regularity in the United States. Such stockpiles would not rationally be held in a traditional Hotelling-style model. How then can the existence of these inventories be explained? In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009419703
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548131
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
The aim of this paper is to investigate how major net oil exporter economies react to oil price shocks. We contribute to the literature by considering, at the same time, the possible nonlinearity and asymmetry of this relationship with respect to sign, size and causes of the oil price shocks, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519959
To correct market failures due to the presence of negative externalities associated with energy consumption, governments have adopted a variety of policies, including taxes, subsidies, regulations and standards, and information-based policies. For example, labels that clearly convey energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251626
This paper provides an analysis of the link between the oil market and the U.S. stock market returns at the aggregate as well as industry levels. We empirically model oil price changes as driven by speculative demand shocks along with consumption demand and supply shocks in the oil market. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391816
the price of crude oil to the price of gasoline is asymmetric. Although there have been many contributions documenting … forecasting performance of econometric models incorporating asymmetric price transmission from crude oil to gasoline. In this …, while the ECM implies symmetric price transmission from crude oil to gasoline. We quantify the forecast accuracy gains due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251557
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012310571
of gasoline. Relative to the previous literature, the distinguishing features of the present paper are: i) use of updated … and comparable data to carry out an international comparison of gasoline markets; ii) two-stage modeling of the … transmission of oil price shocks to gasoline prices (first refinery stage and second distribution stage), in order to assess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596079