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This study analyses the potential impact of climate change on EU tourism demand and provides long-term (2100) scenarios … accounting for adaptation in terms of holiday duration. Our long-term projections for tourism demand are based on hedonic … hypotheses regarding the time dimension of tourism demand. We derive alternative scenarios for adaptation of holiday in terms of …
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We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our preferred leading indicator (GI), the more standard...
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