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data from 1995Q4 to 2021Q4 and Bayesian estimation methods, we find that trend inflation has been well-anchored during the …In this paper, we estimate trend inflation in Sweden using an unobserved components stochastic volatility model. Using … period - although in general at a level below the inflation target - and it does not appear to have been affected much by the …
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The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a popular tool in macroeconomics for decomposing a time series into a smooth trend and a business cycle component. The last few years have witnessed global events, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine, that have had...
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In this article, we propose a cointegration-based Permanent-Transitory decomposition for nonstationary Dynamic Factor … Models. Our methodology exploits the cointegration relations among the observable variables and assumes they are driven by a …-term stationary one. A Monte Carlo experiment shows that taking into account the cointegration structure in the DFM leads to a much …
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