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Bayesian estimation approach called the density-tempered sequential Monte Carlo method. Our findings indicate that the …
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For over a decade, academic and industry economists argued that the negative correlation between returns on stocks and commodity futures was evidence that institutional investors should add commodity futures index funds as an asset class in their portfolio management strategies. Does this...
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In light of the recently passed 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, we assess the effect of margin changes on prices, the risk-sharing between speculators and hedgers, and the price stability of 20 commodity futures markets. We find that margin increases decrease the rate at which prices change, yet they...
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This paper is the first to discuss the design of futures hedging strategies in European natural gas markets (NBP, TTF … that hedging effectiveness is much higher when the seasonal pattern in spot price changes is approximated with lagged … months) hedging periods. Furthermore, volatility of weekly price changes also has a seasonal pattern and is higher in winter …
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