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This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372798
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common component plays an important role in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
We confirm that standard time-series models for US output growth, inflation, interest rates and stock market returns feature non-Gaussian error structure. We build a 4-variable VAR model where the orthogonolised shocks have a Student t-distribution with a time-varying variance. We find that in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339759
develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its … shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
instruments is effective in recovering the underlying shock. In contrast, identification based on recursive schemes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484833
This paper uses a FAVAR model with stochastic volatility to estimate the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income growth in US states. The results suggest that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the magnitude and the persistence of the response to uncertainty shocks across states....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448758
following the slump points to the accommodation of the shock by the ECB, concurrent with the implementation of the Quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451685
structural shock that we label expectational shock. This shock plays a crucial role when describing the series of events that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013254444
financial shocks generate effects on the economy that increase more than proportionately in the size of the shock when the shock … is negative, but not when the shock is positive. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179339
Over the recent years Malta has experienced a remarkable increase in its labour force due to a large influx of immigrants and an unprecedented increase in the domestic participation. Driven by the observation of such a phenomenon, this paper aims at assessing the impact of foreign and domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301315