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experiences a shock forcing it to start learning afresh. Firms differ in their information; more informed firms have lower … posterior variances in beliefs. An uncertainty shock is a rise in the probability that any given firm will lose its information … a prolonged recession followed by anemic recovery in response to an uncertainty shock. When confronted with a rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401309
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
&D portfolio. The resulting ranking across technologies is robust to changes in risk-aversion, R&D budget limitation and assump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622101
The paper clarifies the link between changes in risk aversion and the effect on the consumption discount rate. In a … rate to a change in risk aversion depends on some fundamental properties of the considered uncertainties. The application … of this general result to specific forms of uncertainty extends existing results to more general forms of risk and yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231715
We address the problem of choosing a portfolio of policies under "deep uncertainty." We introduce the idea of belief dominance as a way to derive a set of non-dominated portfolios and robust individual alternatives. Our approach departs from the tradition of providing a single recommended...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504367
This paper proposes to investigate the impact of financialization on energy markets (oil, gas, coal and electricity European forward prices) during both normal times and extreme fluctuation periods through an original behavioral and emotional approach. To this aim, we propose a new theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737191
The potential of geoengineering as an alternative or complementary option to mitigation and adaptation has received increased interest in recent years. The scientific assessment of geoengineering is driven to a large extent by assumptions about its effectiveness, costs, and impacts, all of which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737193
We propose a novel framework for the economic assessment of climate-change policy. Our main point of departure from existing work is the adoption of a "satisficing", as opposed to optimizing, modeling approach. Along these lines, we place primary emphasis on the extent to which different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614242
In this paper we present a dynamic discrete-time model that allows to investigate the impact of risk-aversion in an …-time limit of our model with no uncertainty and no risk-aversion. Focusing on the continuous-time limit of the infinite horizon … inversely related to the degrees of uncertainty and risk-aversion. However, the effect of uncertainty and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980689
We review some of the (theoretical) economic implications of David Schmeidler's models of decision under uncertainty (Choquet expected utility and maxmin expected utility) in competitive market settings. We start with the portfolio inertia result of Dow and Werlang (1992), show how it does or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121980