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Are monetary policy regimes state-dependent? To answer the question this paper estimates New Keynesian general equilibrium models that allow the state of the economy to influence the monetary authority's stance on inflation. I take advantage of recent developments in solving rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975606
this end, the estimation is made by using different types of models, such as the Holston, Laubach, and Williams model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014324792
In this article, we propose a cointegration-based Permanent-Transitory decomposition for nonstationary Dynamic Factor … Models. Our methodology exploits the cointegration relations among the observable variables and assumes they are driven by a …-term stationary one. A Monte Carlo experiment shows that taking into account the cointegration structure in the DFM leads to a much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012596987
This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
Central banks have usually employed short-term rates as the main instrument of monetary policy. In the last decades, however, forward guidance has also become a central tool for monetary policy. In an innovative way this paper combines two sources of extraneous information - high frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295693
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001978121
This paper conducts a structural analysis of inflation persistence in the United Kingdom between 1965-2009. I allow for the possibility of shifts in the U.K. economy by estimating open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models in which parameters of a Taylor-type monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121979
This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372798
This paper studies the role of global and regional variations in economic activity and policy in developed world in driving portfolio capital flows (PCF) to emerging markets (EMs) in a Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) framework. Results suggest that PCFs to EMs depend mainly on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372822
-robust approach is proposed to construct estimation and inference. Thirdly, this paper suggests a procedure to derive theory … the FEVD tend to remove unreasonable implications, increase estimation precision, sharpen and also alter the inference of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037315