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The contribution of frictions to expected returns
Hirakiy, Kazuhiro; Skiadopoulos, George - 2018
We derive a model-free option-based formula to estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) within an asset pricing setting. We estimate CFER for the U.S. optionable stocks. We document that CFER is sizable, it predicts stock returns and it subsumes the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932555
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UK term structure decompositions at the zero lower bound
Carriero, Andrea; Mouabbi, Sarah; Vangelista, Elisabetta - 2015
This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
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Pricing of idiosyncratic equity and variance risks
Gourier, Elise - 2016
the variance of idiosyncratic returns. The estimation is performed on a time series of returns and option prices from 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410917
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Ambiguity and the historical equity premium
Collard, Fabrice; Mukerji, Sujoy; Sheppard, Kevin; … - 2017
This paper assessed the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats the conditional uncertainty about the consumption and dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
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Inferring volatility dynamics and risk premia from the S&P 500 and VIX markets
Bardgett, Chris; Gourier, Elise; Leippold, Markus - 2016
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. An extensive model specification analysis reveals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
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Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates
Kaminska, Iryna; Mumtaz, Haroon; Šustek, Roman - 2020
for macroeconomic outcomes? Using an affine term structure model, we shed new light on these questions. Estimation is … subject to restrictions addressing an estimation bias in expected interest rates obtained by previous studies. Highfrequency … the transmission mechanism and broadly consistent with macroeconomic theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316011
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Prediction accuracy of bivariate score-driven risk premium and volatility filters : an illustration for the Dow Jones
Blazsek, Szabolcs; Escribano, Álvaro; Licht, Adrian - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012310604
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Is climate transition risk priced into corporate credit risk? : evidence from credit default swaps
Ugolini, Andrea; Reboredo, Juan Carlos; Ojea-Ferreiro, … - 2023
We study whether climate transition risk is reflected in the credit default swap (CDS) spreads of firms. Using information on the vulnerability of a firm's value to the transition to a low carbon economy, we construct a climate transition risk (CTR) factor, and document how this factor shifts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230422
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Out-of-sample equity premium prediction : economic fundamentals vs. moving-average rules
Neely, Christopher J.; Rapach, David E.; Tu, Jun; Zhou, … - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008651185
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A factor model of the term structure of interest rates and risk premium estimation for Latvia's money market
Ajevskis, Viktors (contributor);  … - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003353607