Showing 1 - 10 of 3,247
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
Stock and oil relationship is usually time-varying and depends on the current economic conditions. In this study, we propose a new Dynamic Stochastic Mixed data frequency sampling (DSM) copula model, that decomposes the stock-oil relationship into a short-run dynamic stochastic component and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013258038
Unemployment, firm Dynamics, and the Business CyclTime variation is a fundamental problem in statistical and econometric analysis of macroeconomic and financial data. Recently there has been considerable focus on developing econometric modelling that enables stochastic structural change in model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316010
it is easy to implement and does not require cross-validation. The MT estimator of the sample correlation matrix is shown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405221
maturities and investment horizons and they are economically significant. Volatility trading strategies which condition on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472838
specifiy the conditional variances of VECM residuals with the Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) multivariate GARCH model … of Bollerslev (1990) and the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model of Engle (2002). The within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011603089
We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739618
We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476423