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This paper studies the implications of heterogeneous capital gain expectations on output and asset prices. We consider a disequilibrium macroeconomic model where agents' expectations on future capital gains affect aggregate demand. Agents' beliefs take two forms - fundamentalist and chartist -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671937
, and collateral constraint (credit shock) on firm exit. We find that only the credit shock increases firm exit. This result … output, employment, and firm debt during the Great Recession (2007-2009) in the United States, we find that the credit shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238357
Financial inclusion is strikingly low in emerging economies. In only a few years, financial technologies (fintech) have led to a dramatic expansion in the number of non-traditional credit intermediaries, but the macroeconomic and credit-market implications of this rapid growth of fintech are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014516215
shift. While some have argued that the shift was caused by a supply shock due to labour market liberalization, others have … the Beveridge curve in Austria. We find empirical evidence to confirm that the increase in the unemployment rate in … Austria after 2011 can indeed be attributed to a supply-side shock. But, contrary to other research, our analysis shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962116
We study optimal unemployment insurance (UI) over the business cycle using a heterogeneous agent job search model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137069
This paper examines the evolution of the cyclicality of real wages and employment in four Latin American economies (Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) during the period 1980-2010. Wages are highly pro-cyclical during the 1980s and early 1990s, a period characterized by high inflation. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519079
distribution with the monetary shock affecting the median household relative to the 20th percentile by a larger amount than the … right tail. Our results suggest that the shock is transmitted through changes in net property and financial wealth that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120339
develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its … shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
We analyze shocks to productivity, collateral constraint (credit shock), firm operation, and labor disutility in a …. Compared to the productivity shock, the credit and the lockdown shocks generate larger changes in firm entry and exit. The … credit shock accounts for lower entry, higher exit, and concentration of exit among young firms during the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583735
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common component plays an important role in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276