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Forecasting foreign exchange volatility : is implied volatility the best we can do?
Neely, Christopher J. (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource], rev
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001974118
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Futures price volatility in commodities markets : the role of short term vs long term speculation
Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella; Vignati, Ilaria - 2013
This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt …-2010 analyzed at weekly frequency. Using GARCH models we find that speculation significantly affects volatility of returns: short … term speculation has a positive and significant impact on volatility, while long term speculation generally has a negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756298
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Returns in commodities futures markets and financial speculation : a multivariate GARCH approach
Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella; Vignati, Ilaria - 2012
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535531
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The role of jumps in volatility spillovers in foreign exchange markets: meteor shower and heat waves revisited
Lahaye, Jérôme; Neely, Christopher J. - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010423538
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Inferring volatility dynamics and risk premia from the S&P 500 and VIX markets
Bardgett, Chris; Gourier, Elise; Leippold, Markus - 2016
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
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Is small beautiful? : size effects of volatility spillovers for firm performance and exchange rates in tourism
Chang, Chia-Lin; Hsu, Hui-kuang; McAleer, Michael - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009701646
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A Regime-Switching Copula Approach to Modeling Day-Ahead Prices in Coupled Electricity Markets (Pre-print)
Pircalabu, Anca - 2017
The recent price coupling of many European electricity markets has triggered a fundamental change in the interaction of day-ahead prices, challenging additionally the modeling of the joint behavior of prices in interconnected markets. In this paper we propose a regime-switching AR-GARCH copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963695
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Volatility co-movement and the great moderation : an empirical analysis
Mumtaz, Haroon; Theodoridis, Konstantinos - 2016
volatility of US and UK GDP growth appears to have become increasingly correlated in the recent past. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554403
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Understanding dynamic conditional correlations between commodities futures markets
Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella - 2016
We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631
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Jumps in option prices and their determinants : real-time evidence from the E-mini S&P 500 option market
Kapetanios, George; Neumann, Michael; Skiadopoulos, George - 2014
We study the real-time characteristics and drivers of jumps in option prices. To this end, we employ high frequency data from the 24-hour E-mini S&P 500 options market. We find that option prices do not jump simultaneously across strikes and maturities and are uncorrelated with jumps in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472845