Showing 1 - 10 of 1,176
The paper investigates the macroeconomic and financial effects of oil prices shocks in the euro area since its creation in 1999, with a special focus on the recent slump. The analysis is carried out episode by episode, within a time-varying parameter framework, consistent with the view that "not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451685
We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631
an IGARCH process. By means of a new dynamic conditional correlation model (SP-DCC), we finally document the presence of … time-varying conditional correlations relating temperature anomalies across various zones and SOI. The correlation pattern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614201
estimate of constant conditional correlation being 0.975 between the volatilities of the three-month and six-month futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602832
interpretations that relate to economic phenomena such as herding in financial markets. On an econometric level it provides a flexible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008728710
For over a decade, academic and industry economists argued that the negative correlation between returns on stocks and … portfolio management strategies. Does this negative correlation give rise to the possibility of unexploited profit opportunity … in the financial markets? Using a rational asset-pricing model, we argue that such a negative correlation could arise as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008840951
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281687
In this paper we use empirical cross-country correlation coefficients of GDP- and private consumption data as a measure … find, that the so-called consumption correlation puzzle with high output correlations and considerably small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011598321
Unemployment, firm Dynamics, and the Business CyclTime variation is a fundamental problem in statistical and econometric analysis of macroeconomic and financial data. Recently there has been considerable focus on developing econometric modelling that enables stochastic structural change in model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316010
specifiy the conditional variances of VECM residuals with the Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) multivariate GARCH model … of Bollerslev (1990) and the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model of Engle (2002). The within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011603089