In this paper we estimate inflation expectations for several Latin American countries using an affine model that takes … as factors the observed inflation and the parameters generated from zero-coupon yield curves of nominal bonds. By … implementing this approach, we avoid the use of inflation-linked securities, which are scarce in many of these markets, and obtain …

inflation expectations and risk premia. This entails jointly pricing and decomposing nominal and real UK yields. We find … evidence that medium- and long-term inflation expectations are contained within narrower bounds since the early 1990s …, suggesting monetary policy credibility improved after the introduction of inflation targeting. …

's predictive power. Economic complexity ranks among the top three predictors, alongside inflation and institutional factors like …