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In this article we analyse the effects of different regulatory schemes (price cap and profit sharing) on a firm's investment of endogenous size. Using a real option approach in continuous time, we show that profit sharing does not affect a firm's start-up decision relative to a pure price cap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592743
Anscombe and Aumann (1963) offer a definition of subjective probability in terms of comparisons with objective probabilities. That definition - which has provided the basis for much of the succeeding work on subjective probability - presumes that the subjective probability of an event is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264885
For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes announcements more extreme than his forecasts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390247
This paper examines the effect of competition on the irreversible investment decisions under uncertainty as a generalization of the real option approach. We examine this issue with reference to an industry where each firm has only one investment opportunity which is completely irreversible and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591153
We derive a model-free option-based formula to estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) within an asset pricing setting. We estimate CFER for the U.S. optionable stocks. We document that CFER is sizable, it predicts stock returns and it subsumes the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932555
This paper assessed the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats the conditional uncertainty about the consumption and dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
actors. In this paper, we formulate a new theory able to describe "hedging needs" as well as the role of speculators in the … the sample February 2000 November 2014, using WTI and CFTC data. Our theory is well supported by econometric evidence. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532119
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