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volatility and economic activity assuming that both variables are driven by the same set of unobserved common factors and that … these factors affect volatility and economic activity with a time lag of at least a quarter. Under these assumptions, the … driven by the common factors. The evidence is interpreted as suggesting that volatility is a symptom rather than a cause of …
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In recent years, an increasing number of countries have began anchoring their fiscal policy frameworks in terms of rules that target the cyclically adjusted or structural (as opposed to actual) balance in an effort to overcome problems of procyclicality and fiscal volatility. The logic for doing...
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Despite data limitations, formal methods can still be applied to identify business cycle turning points and hence date appropriately the Maltese business cycle. An extension of the official quarterly GDP time series to the 1970s allows for a historical view on dating the business cycle, leading...
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constrained firms are found across the entire firm size distribution, even in the top 1%. Incorporating a richer, empirically … supported, productivity process into a standard heterogeneous firms model generates a joint distribution of size and credit …
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