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Reasons behind words : OPEC narratives and the oil market
Brunetti, Celso; Joëts, Marc; Mignon, Valérie - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384599
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The role of outliers and oil price shocks on volatility of metal prices
Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo - 2015
This study investigates the price volatility of metals, using the GARCH and GJR models. First we examine the … persistence of volatility and the leverage effect across metal markets taking into account the presence of outliers, and second we … estimate the effects of oil price shocks on the price volatility of metals, allowing for the asymmetric responses. We use daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327443
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How is volatility in commodity markets linked to oil price shocks?
Ahmadi, Maryam; Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo - 2015
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674
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Speculation in the oil market
Juvenal, Luciana; Petrella, Ivan - 2011
The run-up in oil prices after 2004 coincided with a growing flow of investment to commodity markets and an increased price comovement between different commodities. We analyze whether speculation in the oil market played a key role in driving this salient empirical pattern. We identify oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009312825
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Nonlinear common trends for the global crude oil market : Markov-switching score-driven models of the multivariate t-distribution
Blazsek, Szabolcs; Escribano, Álvaro; Licht, Adrian - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012221928
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Interpreting the oil risk premium : do oil price shocks matter?
Valenti, Daniele; Manera, Matteo; Sbuelz, Alessandro - 2018
This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the aggregate level. It off ers empirical evidence on whether the compensation for risk required by the speculators depends on the type of the structural shock of interest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794500
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Modelling the global price of oil : is there any role for the oil futures-spot spread?
Valenti, Daniele - 2018
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
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OPEC's oil exporting strategy and macroeconomic (in)stability
Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; Wen, Yi - 2011
production. These results offer a potentially interesting explanation for the decline in economic volatility (i.e., the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008991459
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Oil price shocks and economic growth in oil-exporting countries
Ahmadi, Maryam; Manera, Matteo - 2021
The aim of this paper is to investigate how major net oil exporter economies react to oil price shocks. We contribute to the literature by considering, at the same time, the possible nonlinearity and asymmetry of this relationship with respect to sign, size and causes of the oil price shocks, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519959
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Mothballing in a duopoly: evidence from a (shale) oil market
Comincioli, Nicola; Hagspiel, Verena; Kort, Peter M.; … - 2020
The mothballing option has been studied in the literature, but mainly in decision theoretic frameworks. This paper looks at it from a strategic point of view and applies it to an incumbent-entrant framework. In particular, based on the recent strategic interactions between OPEC and the shale oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306741