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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008669344
This study explores the benefits of incorporating fat-tailed innovations, asymmetric volatility response, and an … extended information set into crude oil return modeling and forecasting. To this end, we utilize standard volatility models … Stochastic Volatility (SV), along with Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions, which enable us to incorporate the impacts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009562958
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
volatility to estimate the changing spillover of global oil shocks into the Maltese economy during the period that goes from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380679
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008669351
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008669993
This study investigates the price volatility of metals, using the GARCH and GJR models. First we examine the … persistence of volatility and the leverage effect across metal markets taking into account the presence of outliers, and second we … estimate the effects of oil price shocks on the price volatility of metals, allowing for the asymmetric responses. We use daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327443
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674
We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631