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that hedging effectiveness is much higher when the seasonal pattern in spot price changes is approximated with lagged … values of the basis (futures price minus spot price). This fact remain true for short (a week) and long (one, three and six … months) hedging periods. Furthermore, volatility of weekly price changes also has a seasonal pattern and is higher in winter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479020
Moscow's revenues and hinder its war effort. Thus, the European ministers agreed to trigger a cap on the gas price. To detect … the importance of the price cap for gas, we provide a mixture representation for the gas price to detect the presence of … autoregressive (VAR) model. As a result, including a lower gas price cap smooths the impact of a gas shock on electricity prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390297
In many futures markets, trading is concentrated in the front contract and positions are rolled-over until the strategy horizon is attained. In this paper, a pair-wise comparison between the conventional risk premium and the accrued risk premium in rolled-over positions in the front contract is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451477
Over the last decade decarbonisation has become a key priority for the EU. However, on the contrary of renewable energy or energy efficiency, the role of gas in this process has never been clearly defined. This uncertainty opens a wide debate on the future role of gas in the EU energy system,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376948
Over the last years Turkey has been increasingly associated in the international political and economic debate with concepts such as "gas corridor" and "gas hub". This characterization of Turkey is clearly mainly due to its unique geographical position at the crossroads the Caspian region, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231710
This article studies the likely impact of unconventional gas developments in the US on EU competitiveness. We find, first of all, little evidence for a prosperous unconventional gas development in Europe. Second, the US boom has already a strong impact on both world and European energy markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476431
This paper explores how Turkey’s politics and economy are affected by changes in global energy. To define which are the most relevant developments, the paper opens with an overview of the country's economic landscape. This analysis illustrates that energy, being the key driver behind its large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591847
find that, with strategic action on the deposit markets, deposit policies are inefficient due to price manipulations within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261861
energy types. This paper discusses the evolution of price reforms for coal, petroleum products, natural gas and electricity … in China, provides some analysis of these energy price reforms, and suggests few areas of reforms could take place in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403532
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012515939