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We confirm that standard time-series models for US output growth, inflation, interest rates and stock market returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339759
The purpose of the paper is to introduce the framework for decomposing the forecast of headline inflation, obtained by … core inflation. The model for inflation decomposition is a small structural model, set up in state space framework. Kalman … filter procedure is applied to filter the future paths of CPI components, given projected headline inflation obtained by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926820
focussed on inflation targeting may not necessarily be effective in India where inflation and inflationary expectations … of past experience and international best practices. It confirms that food inflation has been the driver of domestic … inflation. The paper studies the recommendations of the Urjit Patel Committee and comments that monetary policies predominantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404663
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This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320683
This paper studies inflation persistence with time-varying coefficient autoregressions for twelve central European … countries,in comparison with the United States and the euro area. Inflation persistence tends to be higher in times of high … inflation. Since the oil price shocks, inflation persistence has declined both in the US and euro-area. In most central and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768497
HICP inflation seems to be largely driven by the goods component while ERPT to services prices is largely insignificant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604346