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a time-varying risk premium consistent with that bias. Using ten years of data on FX order flow we find that more than … find that carry trading increases currency-crash risk in that order flow generates negative skewness in FX returns. …
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Using a comprehensive high-frequency foreign exchange dataset, we present evidence of time-of-day effects in foreign exchange returns through a significant tendency for currencies to depreciate during local trading hours. We confirm this pattern across a range of currencies and time zones. We...
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intensity is associated with larger excess returns and higher crash risk. Across regimes, the differences in exchange rates are … the carry trade in terms of the Sharpe ratio and downside risk. …
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We gauge the de-facto capital account openness of the Chinese and Indian economies by testing the law of one price on the basis of onshore and offshore price gaps for three key financial instruments. Generally, the three measures show both economies becoming more financially open over time. Over...
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