Showing 1 - 10 of 155
We develop distress prediction models for non-financial small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) using a dataset from eight European countries over the period 2000-2009. We examine idiosyncratic and systematic covariates and find that macro conditions and bankruptcy codes add predictive power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862221
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668600
We propose a new algorithm which allows easy estimation of Vector Autoregressions (VARs) featuring asymmetric priors and time varying volatilities, even when the cross sectional dimension of the system N is particularly large. The algorithm is based on a simple triangularisation which allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392887
This study estimates Climate Adjusted Total Factor Productivity (CATFP) for agriculture in Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) countries, while also providing comparisons with several regions of the world. Climatic variability is introduced in Stochastic Production Frontier (SPF) models by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339428
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359435
This paper proposes a forecasting model that combines a factor augmented VAR (FAVAR) methodology with the Nelson and … variables. Our forecasting model significantly improves the predicting accuracy of extant models in the literature, particularly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523983
information. Finally, when forecasting the headline CPI, our UIG for China outperforms traditional core measures over different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297664
product, which in turn are used as an input in the forecasting process. Such forecasts reflect and incorporate the flow of … in a synchronous way. The forecasting power of the dynamic factor model is compared with those of several other models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818645