We build and estimate a novel TANK model with partially unfunded debt to study whether the record high debt-to-GDP ratio threatens US inflation stability. In response to business cycle shocks, the monetary authority controls inflation, and the fiscal authority stabilizes debt. The central bank...

The current low interest rate environment limits the tools of the central bank to stabilize the economy, while the large public debt curtails the efficacy of fiscal interventions by inducing expectations of costly fiscal adjustments. Against this background, we study the implications of a...

We develop a new class of general equilibrium models with partially unfunded debt to propose a fiscal theory of persistent inflation. In response to business cycle shocks, the monetary authority controls inflation, and the fiscal authority stabilizes debt. However, the central bank accommodates...

The low rate of inflation observed in the U.S. over the entire past decade is hard to reconcile with traditional measures of labor market slack. We show that an alternative notion of slack that encompasses workers' propensity to search on the job explains this missing inflation. We derive this...

After the Brexit referendum the behavior of the UK economy defied widespread expectations, as it did not exhibit a V-shaped recession, but a slow decline in production. We show that this pattern of propagation arises when uncertainty is about future, rather than current fundamentals, and if the...

We construct novel proxies of physical and transition climate risks by conducting textual analysis of climate-change news over the period 2000-2018. This analysis uncovers four textual variables related to the topics of U.S. climate policy, international summits, natural disasters, and global...