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accompanied by clear signs of severe autocorrelation in their residuals. A conscientious researcher would therefore not end an … investigation with such a result, but would likely re-estimate with an autocorrelation correction. Simulations show, for several …
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"We propose a Bayesian procedure for exploiting small, possibly long-lag linear predictability in the innovations of a finite order autoregression. We model the innovations as having a log-spectral density that is a continuous mean-zero Gaussian process of order 1/√T. This local embedding...
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