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"Data for OECD countries document: 1. imports and exports are about three times as volatile as GDP; 2. imports and … exports are pro-cyclical, and positively correlated with each other; 3. net exports are counter-cyclical. Standard models fail … to replicate the behavior of imports and exports, though they can match net exports relatively well. Inspired by the fact …
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"Extreme heat is the single best predictor of corn and soybean yields in the United States. While average yields have risen continuously since World War II, we find no evidence that relative tolerance to extreme heat has improved between 1950 and 2005. Climate change forecasts project a sharp...
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