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Comparing the point predictions and subjective probability distributions of professional forecasters
Engelberg, Joseph; Manski, Charles F.; Williams, Jared - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003285439
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Evaluation of subjective probability distributions in the HRS
Hurd, Michael D.; McGarry, Kathleen - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000885527
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The "gambler's fallacy" in lottery play
Clotfelter, Charles T.; Cook, Philip J. - 1991
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000818573
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A probability model of the coincident economic indicators
Stock, James H.; Watson, Mark W. - 1988
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000757939
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Measuring the effect of subsidized training programs on movements in and out of employment
Card, David E.; Sullivan, Daniel Gerard - 1987
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000723050
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Linear probability models of the demand for attributes with an empirical application to estimating the preferences of legislators
Heckman, James J.; Snyder, James M. - 1996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000609246
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Individual subjective survival curves
Gan, Li; Hurd, Michael D.; McFadden, Daniel - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001736602
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Stochastic infinite horizon forecasts for social security and related studies
Lee, Ronald Demos; Miller, Timothy; Anderson, Michael - 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002485366
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Predictable returns and asset allocation : should a skeptical investor time the market?
Wachter, Jessica; Warusawitharana, Missaka - 2007
Are excess returns predictable and if so, what does this mean for investors? Previous literature has tended toward two polar viewpoints: that predictability is useful only if the statistical evidence for it is incontrovertible, or that predictability should affect portfolio choice, even if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003486181
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A precautionary tale of uncertain tail fattening
Weitzman, Martin L. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559866