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The proposition that inflation expectations can be extracted as inflation predictions from the government bond yield … of inflation. Examining the sub-periods separated by the adoption, in 2000, of inflation targeting, we find that the … monetary policy regime shift strengthened the relationship between the yield spread and future inflation. The results suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873970
/tightness and inflation expectations, contributing to the debate on the relevance of the Phillips curve in South Africa, where … previous findings have been inconclusive. Our analysis reveals that long-run inflation expectations are the primary driver of … inflation, with these expectations anchored around 5% historically but declining since the financial crisis. This trend suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314767
that influence the narrative about inflation and monetary policy in South Africa. To that end, this paper first identifies … the main individuals (journalists, domestic policy makers, and financial analysts) that influence the inflation message in … relationships and identify the most prominent persons in the network. Second, I use textual analysis to compare the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014368468
The arrival of European settlers at the Cape in 1652 marked the beginning of what would become an extremely unequal society. Comparative analysis reveals that certain endowments exist in societies that experience a 'persistence of inequality'. This paper shows that the emphasis on endowments may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008662851
The United Nations Millennium Declaration commits to halving extreme poverty between 2000 and 2015. The South African government has set a goal of halving poverty by 2014, although the meaning of this goal has not yet been defined. This article specifies government's stated target of halving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009310292
This study represents the first attempt at an integrated approach to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on the national economy of South Africa via a number of (but not necessarily all) impact channels. The study focuses on outcomes by about 2050. The results show the multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511214
South Africa has a nascent biofuels industry and emerging regulatory framework, and although water scarcity limits local supply potential, that of the southern African region appears substantial. This paper describes the results and modelling approach of an assessment of potential biofuel demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419609
We describe the construction of a series of mini Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs) for the period 1993-2013 in current and constant prices. A key feature of these SAMs is that they are all in exactly the same format across years as well as in terms of current and constant prices. In order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428016
The animal feed to poultry value chain in the southern African region has seen rapid demand growth owing to increases in urbanization. This growth has been accompanied by the increase in co-ordinated investments by large, predominantly South African, firms across the region. We examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431788
This paper focuses on the relationship between regional integration in the Southern African Development Community and national policies. Review of trade, industrial, agricultural, labour, and related policy areas, indicates that national policies can and do run counter to the regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284924