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In search of the Euro area fiscal stance
Albonico, Alice; Tirelli, Patrizio; Paccagnini, Alessia - 2016
This paper investigates the role of fiscal policies over the aggregate EMU business cycle. Previous studies, based on the assumption of non-separability between public and private consumption, obtain a large public consumption multiplier, a small fraction of non-Ricardian households and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529025
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Identifying the shocks behind business cycle asynchrony in Euroland
Trenkler, Carsten; Weber, Enzo - 2012
This paper investigates which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles in the euro area. Thereby, it unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, we show that the presence of a common cycle implies collinearity of structural impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489953
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On the identification of multivariate correlated unobserved components models
Trenkler, Carsten; Weber, Enzo - 2015
This paper analyses identification for multivariate unobserved components models in which the innovations to trend and cycle are correlated. We address order and rank criteria as well as potential non-uniqueness of the reduced-form VARMA model. Identification is shown for lag lengths larger than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491916
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Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area
Hauzenberger, Niko; Böck, Maximilian; Pfarrhofer, Michael - 2018
In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
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The effectiveness of forward guidance in an estimated DSGE model for the Euro area : the role of expectations
Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Bekiros, Stelios - 2016
-VAR models. DSGE model with expectations outperforms others for inflation; while for output and short term-interest rate the DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583778
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Price level changes and the redistribution of nominal wealth across the Euro Area
Adam, Klaus; Zhu, Junyi - 2014
, and Belgium and Malta being the largest losers. Governments are net winners of inflation, while the household (HH) sector …, while HHs in Finland and Spain turn out to be net winners of inflation. Considerable heterogeneity exists also within the HH … sector: relatively young middle class HHs are net winners of inflation, while older and richer HHs are losers. As a result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490481
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Reassessment of the fiscal multiplier in developing countries : regime-switching model
Hlaváček, Michal; Ismayilov, Ilgar; Zeynalov, Ayaz - 2020
The existing literature on fiscal policy has mainly employed linear models that found a small fiscal multiplier in developing economies. These findings challenge the importance and e↵ectiveness of fiscal policy for these countries. However, linear models are not capable of distinguishing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532627
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The transmission of macroprudential policy in the tails : evidence from a narrative approach
Fernández-Gallardo, Álvaro; Lloyd, Simon; Manuel, Ed - 2023
We estimate the causal effects of macroprudential policies on the entire distribution of GDP growth for advanced European economies using a narrative-identification strategy in a quantile-regression framework. While macroprudential policy has near-zero effects on the centre of the GDP-growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014460609
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New facts on consumer price rigidity in the Euro area
Gautier, Erwan; Conflitti, Cristina; Faber, Riemer P.; … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272265
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Fiscal performance under inflation and inflation surprises: evidence from fiscal reaction functions for the euro area
Stæhr, Karsten; Tkačevs, Oļegs; Urke, Katri - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281684