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Predicting vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector : the role of global and domestic factors

Behn, Markus; Detken, Carsten; Peltonen, Tuomo; … - 2016

We estimate a multivariate early-warning model to assess the usefulness of private credit and other macro-financial variables in predicting banking sector vulnerabilities. Using data for 23 European countries, we find that global variables and in particular global credit growth are strong...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975644

Mapping the interconnectedness between EU banks and shadow banking entities

Abad, Jorge; D'Errico, Marco; Killeen, Neill; Luz, Vera; … - 2017

This paper provides a unique snapshot of the exposures of EU banks to shadow banking entities within the global … challenging when shadow banking entities are domiciled in different jurisdictions. The analysis shows that many of the EU banks …' exposures are towards non-EU entities, particularly US-domiciled shadow banking entities. At the individual level, banks …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976217

Evaluating macroprudential policies

Buch, Claudia M.; Vogel, Edgar; Weigert, Benjamin - 2018

Macroprudential policy is a relatively new policy field. Its goal is to preserve financial stability and to prevent the build-up of systemic risk that may have adverse effects for the functioning of the financial system and for the real economy. New institutions have been tasked with the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978687

Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area

Hauzenberger, Niko; Böck, Maximilian; Pfarrhofer, Michael - 2018

In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764

Pockets of risk in European housing markets : then and now

Kelly, Jane; Le Blanc, Julia; Lydon, Reamonn - 2019

Using household survey data, we document evidence of a loosening of credit standards in Euro area countries that experienced a property price boom-and-bust cycle. Borrowers in these countries exhibited significantly higher loan-to-value (LTV) and loan-to-income (LTI) ratios in the run up to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978833

Macroprudential supervision : from theory to policy

Schoenmaker, Dirk; Wierts, Peter - 2016

Financial supervision focuses on the aggregate (macroprudential) in addition to the individual (microprudential). But an agreed framework for measuring and addressing financial imbalances is lacking. We propose a holistic approach for the financial system as a whole, beyond banking. Building on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974648

The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE

Eller, Markus; Hauzenberger, Niko; Huber, Florian; … - 2021

In line with the recent policy discussion on the use of macroprudential measures to respond to crossborder risks arising from capital flows, this paper tries to quantify to what extent macroprudential policies (MPPs) have been able to stabilize capital flows in Central, Eastern and Southeastern...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510734