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model. We find that a union aggregate systemic risk shock results in a sharp decline in output, with two thirds of the …
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This study investigates the effects of extra-ECOWAS merchandise trade and investment flows on the transmission of business cycles in ECOWAS between 1985 and 2014. The study finds that total trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) significantly influence the transmission of business cycles with...
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I identify new patterns in countries' economic performance over the 2007-2014 period based on proximity through distance, trade, and finance to the US subprime mortgage and Eurozone debt crisis areas. To understand the causes of the cross-country variation, I develop an open economy model with...
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