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We provide a micro-empirical link between the large literature on credit and house prices and the burgeoning literature on macroprudential policy. Using loan-level data on Irish mortgages originated between 2003 and 2010, we construct a measure of credit availability which varies at the borrower...
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During the COVID-19 pandemic, house prices and mortgage credit rose at a longunseen pace. It is unclear, however … novel approach in the financial s tability literature t o j ointly m easure h ouse price overvaluation and mortgage credit … flow g aps. We find that, by mid-2021, Lithuania was experiencing a heating-up in housing and mortgage credit markets, with …
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Since the onset of the Global Financial Crisis, the presence of institutional investors in housing markets has steadily increased over time. Real estate funds (REIFs) and other housing investment Örms leverage large-scale buy-to-rent real estate investments that enable them to set prices in...
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Long-term fixed-rate mortgage contracts protect households against interest rate risk, yet most countries have … fixation length tracks the life-cycle decline of credit risk in the mortgage market: the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio decreases … using shorter-term contracts. To quantify demand for long-term contracts, I develop a life-cycle model of optimal mortgage …
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mortgage panel data to assign performing loans into the appropriate stage. Using this technique, we characterise approximately … 30 per cent of the performing Irish mortgage portfolio at end-2015 as Stage 2.We then calculate backward-looking, static …
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Looking at house price cycles across the OECD since 1970, we find a strong relationship between the size of the initial rise in price and its subsequent fall. Were this relationship to hold for Ireland, it would predict falls of real house prices of 40 to 60 per cent over a period of 8 to 9...
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