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We analyze recent developments in Bolivia's politics through the lens of political cleavage theory, in particular cleavage displacement. Bolivia's current party system is characterized by a stable and dominant MAS at one end of the spectrum, and at the other a fractious, unstable collection of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013279262
For 50 years Bolivia's political party system was a surprisingly robust component of an otherwise fragile democracy. How did a gas pipeline dispute spark a revolution that overturned the political system, destroyed existing political parties, and re-cast the relationship between state and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261820
Political campaign spending ceilings are purported to limit the incumbent's ability to exploit his fundraising advantage. If the challenger does not have superior campaign effectiveness, in contrast to conventional wisdom, we show that the incumbent always benefits from a limit as long as he has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009729272
with respect to elections in 2002, 2007 and 2011. There is evidence of a clear social base emerging after the 2011 election … concentrated amongst lower income and less educated. Preliminary data from the 2016 election is consistent with these developments. …
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election. This note updates this work to incorporate the 2016 election using the latest wave of ESS data. The results show that … in terms of the bases of party supports many of the features of the "earthquake election" of 2011 remain, in particular … change from the 2011 election. However, there is some evidence that the support base for Fianna Fail in 2016 was older and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063056
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The rise of outsider, populist, and nativist politicians across the West is no coincidence, nor a "sign of the times". It is symptomatic of political party systems disintegrating from the bottom up, as structural changes in the economy and society unmoor them from the major social cleavages that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261849