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College graduates tend to earn more than non-graduates but it is difficult to ascertain how much of this empirical association between wages and college degree is due to the causal effect of a college degree and how much is due to unobserved factors that influence both wages and education (e.g....
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variables eliminates the serial correlation after q lags. Importantly, maximum likelihood estimation and likelihood ratio …
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sample properties of different inference methods for IRFs. Our results point out that estimation uncertainty may increase … estimation uncertainty substantially in finite samples. …
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This paper analyses identification for multivariate unobserved components models in which the innovations to trend and cycle are correlated. We address order and rank criteria as well as potential non-uniqueness of the reduced-form VARMA model. Identification is shown for lag lengths larger than...
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