We apply a computable general equilibrium framework to assess likely impacts of the Lewis turning point on China and the rest of the world. Modeling results suggest that China will probably transition from an abnormal economy to a normal economy with somewhat lower growth but higher inflation,...

The global currency system is likely to change significantly after the global financial crisis, but decline of the U.S. dollar may be a gradual process. These would impact the Peoples Republic of Chinas (PRC) renminbi policy, which, in turn, may generate feedbacks on the global system. The PRC...

In this paper we attempt to explain the China Puzzle: coexistence of accelerating economic growth and worsening growth outlook. The root cause lies in Chinas unique liberalization approach, i.e., the combination of complete liberalization of product markets and continued distortions in factor...

The paper examines the determinants of inflation in China.The analyses of both year-on-year and month-on-month growth data confirm that excess liquidity, output gap, housing prices and stock prices positively affecting inflation.Impulse response analyses indicate that most effects occur during...