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This document analyzes the patterns of fiscal and monetary policy in five economies of the Latin American Southern Cone (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay) during four episodes of international crises: 1994, 1997-1999, 2001 and 2008. In contrast with earlier episodes when most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303276
This paper seeks to identify the most promising fiscal strategy to boost long-term economic growth in Argentina and quantify its effects. To this end, the authors updated a growth-diagnostics study for Argentina and corroborated that low appropriability of social returns and insufficient public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303821
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run, as well as a decline in sovereign and systemic stress. Debt over GDP negatively influences growth for the periphery … to non-financial corporations positively affect the core euro area. An increase in global GDP also supports growth in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625874
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We provide evidence that industries' supply curves are convex. To guide our empirical analysis, we develop a model, in which capacity constraints at the plant level generate convex supply curves at the industry level. The industry's capacity utilization rate is a sufficient statistic for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271523
with a hierarchical structure we capture the variability of GDP response to policy shocks both between and within the … more homogeneous effects on GDP. We then quantify the policy contribution on GDP growth in the last decade by means of a … structural counterfactual analysis based on conditional forecasts. We find that global GDP growth benefited from substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987115
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We study optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model where occasional declines in agents' confidence can give rise to persistent liquidity trap episodes. Unlike in the case of fundamental-driven liquidity traps, there is no straightforward recipe for mitigating the welfare costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037377