volatility of emerging and developed economies. We study a multi-sector small open economy in which firms produce and trade …

subject to self-fulfilling variations in the world real interest rate. Those expectation-driven changes in the borrowing cost … asset prices, GDP, consumption, investment and employment). When firms around the world benefit from unexpectedly low debt … internationally. Such a stylized model thus offers one way to rationalize both the existence of world business-cycle factor documented …

with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as …. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the … correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence …