Showing 1 - 10 of 10
The link between US labor cost and price inflation has weakened notably over the past three decades. In this paper we … economy of late: (i) improved anchoring of inflation expectations; (ii) the changing constellation of shocks hitting the … economy; (iii) increased trade integration and (iv) rising firm market power. We find that the improved anchoring of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603076
This paper documents, for the first time in a systematic manner, the link between labor cost and price inflation in the … and price inflation in the four major economies of the euro area and across the three main sectors. The dynamic …. Our results show that it is more likely that labor costs are passed on to price inflation with demand shocks than with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975511
In most OECD countries, we cannot reject up to three breaks in the mean of inflation: one break in the late 1960's … phenomena. We also show that ignoring breaks in the mean of inflation clearly lead to overrate inflation persistence in standard … bi-variate models of inflation. The response of inflation to shocks in these models is markedly faster with breaks than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002817410
Surprisingly it did not, or at least not directly. Using micro data on consumer prices and sectoral inflation rates … has altered the behaviour of retail price setting and/or inflation dynamics. We find no evidence that anything has changed … earlier patterns. On the contrary, we do find evidence of a decline in the persistence of the inflation process in the mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003297532
An important stylized fact to emerge from the VAR estimates is that exogenous monetary policy shocks (also labelled unsystematic monetary policy) have a delayed, persistent, hump shaped effect on in.ation. I argue that this empirical pattern is fragile. In particular it disappears when one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230317
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003162272
inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a … dynamic factor model for 404 inflation sub-indices of the euro area CPI. This allows to decompose the dynamics of inflation … the overall variance of the 404 disaggregate inflation series, is the main driver of aggregate dynamics. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003422813
This paper assesses the impact of weather shocks on inflation components in the four largest euro area economies. We … combine high-frequency weather data with monthly data on inflation and output growth within a set of Bayesian Vector … asymmetries and seasonal responses of inflation to temperature shocks, mainly via food, energy, and service prices. An increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278607
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963762
monetary policy shock on GDP and inflation; (3) for business loans, the impact through the (supply) bank lending channel is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003993969