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This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the "curse of dimensionality" in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831142
The rapid rise in the price of crude oil between 2004 and the summer of 2006 are the subject of debate. This paper investigates the factors that might have contributed to the oil price increase in addition to demand and supply for crude oil, by expanding a model for crude oil prices to include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636096
number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778781
to the rest of the world tends to fluctuate over time but remains large overall. Second, although the size of the … more persistent. Actually, the increasing economic integration at the world level is likely to have fostered second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832378
Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …. This paper proposes a number of approaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic variables and aims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867019
of the world. Overall we find that while US economic developments would indeed affect the rest of the world, developments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599254
countryspecific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657123
Drawing on a large sample of countries, this paper explores whether closer economic ties between countries foster business cycle synchronisation and disentangles the role of the various channels, including trade and financial linkages as well as the similarity in sectoral specialisation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935822