Showing 1 - 4 of 4
We analyse the importance of macroeconomic information, such as industrial production index and oil price, for forecasting daily electricity prices in two of the main European markets, Germany and Italy. We do that by means of mixed-frequency models, introducing a Bayesian approach to reverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987142
Unrestricted-MIDAS models (MIDAS-ARMA and UMIDAS-ARMA). Specifically, the simulation results indicate that the short … simulation and empirical results, MIDAS-ARMA is better than UMIDAS-ARMA. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937289
We propose a Bayesian VAR model with stochastic volatility and time varying skewness to estimate the degree of labour at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment rate as a function of real activity and financial risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362647
We use mixed-frequency (quarterly-monthly) data to estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model embedded with the financial accelerator mechanism a la Bernanke et al. (1999). We find that the financial accelerator can work very differently at monthly frequency compared to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815038