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Risk sharing and monetary policy transmission

Hauptmeier, Sebastian; Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; … - 2022

Using regionally disaggregated data on economic activity, we show that risk sharing plays a key role in shaping the … real effects of monetary policy. With weak risk sharing, monetary policy shocks trigger a strong and durable response in … output. With strong risk sharing, the response is attenuated, and output reverts to its initial level over the medium term …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448692

A toolkit for computing Constrained Optimal Policy Projections (COPPs)

De Groot, Oliver; Mazelis, Falk; Motto, Roberto; … - 2021

This paper presents a toolkit1 for generating optimal policy projections. It makes five contributions. First, the toolkit requires a minimal set of inputs: only a baseline projection for target and instrument variables and impulse responses of those variables to policy shocks. Second, it solves...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519365

Asymmetric monetary policy rules for the euro area and the US

Maih, Junior; Mazelis, Falk; Motto, Roberto; … - 2021

We analyse the implications of asymmetric monetary policy rules by estimating Markovswitching DSGE models for the euro area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to in ation was more forceful when in ation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617047

Disciplining expectations and the forward guidance puzzle

Müller, Tobias; Christoffel, Kai; Mazelis, Falk; … - 2020

Forward guidance operates via the expectations formation process of the agents in the economy. In standard quantitative macroeconomic models, the expectations are unobserved state variables and little scrutiny is devoted to analysing the dynamic behaviour of these expectations. We show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241110

Mitigating the forward guidance puzzle : inattention, credibility, finite planning horizons and learning

De Groot, Oliver; Mazelis, Falk - 2020

This paper develops a simple, consistent methodology for generating empirically realistic forward guidance simulations using existing macroeconomic models by modifying expectations about policy announcements. The main advantage of our method lies in the exact preservation of all other shock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241145

Macroprudential policy measures : macroeconomic impact and interaction with monetary policy

Cozzi, Guido; Darracq Pariès, Matthieu; Karadi, Peter; … - 2020

This paper examines the interactions of macroprudential and monetary policies. We find, using a range of macroeconomic models used at the European Central Bank, that in the long run, a 1% bank capital requirement increase has a small impact on GDP. In the short run, GDP declines by 0.15-0.35%....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165315

Heterogeneity in corporate debt structures and the transmission of monetary policy

Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; Thürwächter, Claire - 2020

We study how differences in the aggregate structure of corporate debt financing affect the transmission of monetary policy. Using high-frequency financial market data to identify monetary policy shocks in a panel of euro area countries, we find that: bond finance dampens the overall response of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212853

Monetary policy and regional inequality

Hauptmeier, Sebastian; Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; … - 2020

We study the impact of monetary policy on regional inequality using granular data on economic activity at the city- and county-level in Europe. We document pronounced heterogeneity in the regional patterns of monetary policy transmission. The output response to monetary policy shocks is stronger...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197783

Monetary policy strategies for the euro area : optimal rules in the presence of the ELB

Mazelis, Falk; Motto, Roberto; Ristiniemi, Annukka - 2023

We study alternative monetary policy strategies in the presence of the lower bound on nominal interest rates and a low equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We demonstrate that simple feedback rules that implement inflation targeting result in a binding lower...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603