find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …

It has been widely documented that households experience different inflation rates which are generally concealed in … individual households and try to explain the causes for the observed inflation differences. Considering not only consumption … among household inflation rates. These are also quite variable over time, resulting from varying consumption baskets and …

We propose a new measure of underlying inflation that informs, in real time, about asymmetric risks on the outlook of … and has several additional advantages. First, it is able to swiftly infer abrupt changes in underlying inflation. Second …, it helps to timely track turning points in underlying inflation. Third, the proposed indicator also has a satisfactory …

(Why) do prices and inflation rates differ within the euro area? We study the relevance of a national border for …-level inflation rates differ for only half of the chains. The results highlight the importance of the history-dependent evolution of … distribution networks and of the structure of the sales organization as a driver of price and inflation heterogeneity. …