find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …

How much does quality adjustment matter in measuring consumer price inflation? To address this question, we use … inflation only by 0.06 percentage points, which is balanced out by an increase due to quantity adjustment (e.g. a smaller … deriving the distribution of member states' cumulative inflation rates for typical quality-adjusted products. Our macro …

We propose a new measure of underlying inflation that informs, in real time, about asymmetric risks on the outlook of … and has several additional advantages. First, it is able to swiftly infer abrupt changes in underlying inflation. Second …, it helps to timely track turning points in underlying inflation. Third, the proposed indicator also has a satisfactory …

the real-time nowcast of German inflation. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of inflation: individual … products, product groups, and headline inflation. At the individual product level, we construct a large set of weekly scanner …-frequency setup, these indices significantly improve inflation nowcasts already after the first seven days of a month. For nowcasting …