Showing 1 - 10 of 83
This paper presents a new dataset on the dynamics of non-performing loans (NPLs) during 88 banking crises since 1990. The data show similarities across crises during NPL build-ups but less so during NPL resolutions. We find a close relationship between NPL problems-elevated and unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206258
banking groups. On this basis, the bail-in of a bank can be simulated to identify the direct contagion risk to the other banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636947
We develop a structural model for valuing bank balance sheet components such as the equity and debt value, the value … for the government when the bank is operated by private shareholders including the present value of a possible future … bailout, the bailout value incurred by the government following the abandonment of the private shareholders, and, moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011910725
This paper proposes a framework for deriving early-warning models with optimal out-of-sample forecasting properties and applies it to predicting distress in European banks. The main contributions of the paper are threefold. First, the paper introduces a conceptual framework to guide the process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920949
endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form … expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a return on deposits according to their risk. This creates strategic … of bank net worth and lead to a "gambling trap" with a persistent drop in investment and output. I bring the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959253
in line with the economic conditions they face. Bank responses feed back to the macroeconomic environment affecting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286943
of bank failures. We find that riskadjusted premiums reduce moral hazard, enabling the policymaker to increase deposit … insurance coverage by 3 percentage points and decrease the share of expected annual bank failures from 0.66% to 0.16%. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332900
This paper examines common regulation as cause of interbank contagion. Studies based on the correlation of bank assets … that banks have a common regulator. In our model, the failure of one bank can undermine the public's confidence in the … forbearance to the initially failing bank in the hope that it - and hence other vulnerable banks - survives. By contrast, public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973340
In this paper we present a methodology of model-based calibration of additional capital needed in an interconnected financial system to minimize potential contagion losses. Building on ideas from combinatorial optimization tailored to controlling contagion in case of complete information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519357
We provide a simple and tractable accounting-based stress-testing framework to assess loss dynamics in the banking sector, in a context of leverage targeting. Contagion can occur through direct interbank exposures, and indirect exposures due to overlapping portfolios with the associated price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384482