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The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a … France, the strongest ex0Bect on output is produced by shocks on government expenditure on wages and transfers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789432
We estimate the degree of "stickiness" in aggregate consumption growth (sometimes interpreted as reflecting consumption habits) for thirteen advanced economies. We find that, after controlling for measurement error, consumption growth has a high degree of autocorrelation, with a stickiness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778438
, Germany, Italy, the UK and the US. The following results emerge from our analysis. First, and contrary to the recent findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337300
(the US, Germany and the UK). This novel methodology is based on dynamic factor models, the EM algorithm and the Kalman … reveal clear international dependency patterns, strong enough to improve forecasts of Germany and to a lesser extent UK. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832611
sample of non-financial corporations (around 120,000 firms) in six euro area countries (Belgium, Germany, France, Italy, the … appears to be especially large in the Netherlands and Italy and relatively small in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790950
The prices of futures contracts on short-term interest rates are commonly used by central banks to gauge market expectations concerning monetary policy decisions. Excess returns - the difference between futures rates and the realized rates - are positive, on average, and statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826011
In a famous episode of financial history which lasted over eight years, the market for the future on the Bund moved entirely from LIFFE, a London-based derivatives exchange, to DTB, a Frankfurt-based exchange. This paper studies the determinants of the observed dynamics, using a novel panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003484120
This paper documents producer price setting in 6 countries of the euro area: Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Belgium and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003422705
An aggregation exercise is proposed that aims at investigating whether the fast average adjustment of the disaggregate inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a dynamic factor model for 404 inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003422813