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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766427
We estimate the degree of "stickiness" in aggregate consumption growth (sometimes interpreted as reflecting consumption habits) for thirteen advanced economies. We find that, after controlling for measurement error, consumption growth has a high degree of autocorrelation, with a stickiness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778438
We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337206
This paper proposes an equilibrium relationship between expected exchange rate changes and differentials in expected returns on risky assets. We show that when expected returns on a risky asset in a certain economy are higher than the returns that are expected from investing in a risky asset in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003554934
This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market expectations, as measured by the skewness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636538
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789432
This paper explores a long dataset (1999-2005) of intraday prices on German long-term bond futures and examines market responses to major macroeconomic announcements and ECB monetary policy releases. In general, adjustments in prices are quick and new information is usually incorporated into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337172
, Germany, Italy, the UK and the US. The following results emerge from our analysis. First, and contrary to the recent findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337300
banking. Germany achieved a high degree of domestic stability and provided safe haven for investors in times of turmoil in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831853
(the US, Germany and the UK). This novel methodology is based on dynamic factor models, the EM algorithm and the Kalman … reveal clear international dependency patterns, strong enough to improve forecasts of Germany and to a lesser extent UK. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832611